Ya I very much doubt global production of discreet will exceed much the 40-45 million mark next year. They simply will prioritize pro cards. Like we saw today at the GTC from the jacket, and cpus that are much more profitable. Only console apus might be less profitable. But those contracts are volume oriented and force the gpus makers into supply agreements.
I dont see this getting better anytime soon now. I might say **** it at retirement and grab a ~grand from the severance pay for a gpu then I dont know. I think Id rather wait for next gen at this point. The 7000 Radeon series and 4000 RTX series are said to be huge improvements.