Nintendo Switch sales predictions

[SubCog]

Now that the Switch has been revealed, how do you think it'll perform this generation?

 

[dmanna]

How many years are we talking? I will say 30 million after 4 years. I feel like that might be on the high side.

 

[Greasy]

I'm thinking 25-30 million.

 

[Nascar24]

Still believe it is designed way to close to the way the WiiU works and is just an expansion of the WiiU which only has sold in the 13 to 14 million range. I am expecting the same for the switch if not less at this point.

 

[Pr3tty F1y]

I have a Wii U. I love my Wii U. Switch will be another Wii U... unfortunately.

 

[ShaidarHaran]

The Switch will easily sell at least twice as many systems as the Wii U because hardly anyone even knew the Wii U existed or what it was.

 

[SubCog]

I predict that if the Switch sells less than 20 million units, Nintendo will go 3rd party. They can't afford another WiiU... 2 failed consoles in a row will destroy consumer confidence, virtually guaranteeing that the next one will have no chance.

 

[Meteor_of_War]

The Switch will easily sell at least twice as many systems as the Wii U because hardly anyone even knew the Wii U existed or what it was.

This is pretty much how I feel as well.

Their marketing for the Switch, while not perfect, has been waaay better than it was for the Wii U. That alone will earn it at least double the sales.

Keep releasing a great new 1st party title at least every 6 months and I wouldn't be surprised if it surpassed GameCube sales.

 

[Sasquach]

going with the 25-30 million range.

Wii-U had everything going against it:

-The Wii name (confused the hell out of people thinking its an addon to the wii and not a console of its own)
-long droughts of major releases
-Released at the tail end of the 7th generation console cycle.
-specs competitive with the 7th generation, but obliterated by the 8th gen. (do I have the generations correct?)
-Gimmick touchpad controller that like the original motion controls, no one knew how to utilize in a fun and unique way.
-still primitive online infrastructure
-Lack of storage space.

With the Switch we still have a power deficit but it looks like they're just completely disregarding anything wii/wii-U related and starting from scratch.
Plus its not super gimmicky, its got motion controllers (which is more or less the norm now) but other than that theres no real need to 'experience a new and different way to play' since its basically just a dockable handheld.

I see it as Nintendo's return to relevance. But not a return to dominance.

 

[dmanna]

The xbox one sales estimate after about 3 1/4 years is 26 million consoles sold. I know they have different target audiences but the Xbox one is a borderline success. MS does apparently still have 47 million subscribers to xbox live which gives them quite a bit of money though. 60-80 dollars a year at 47 million... not to shabby. Then add in there store purchases and game purchases.

Nintendo doesn't have all the extra money grabs.

 

[SirBaron]

I'm expecting 30-40 million.

 

[GravY]

upper end of the Dreamcast/Wii U failure level.

 

[logical]

Numbers in the poll seem a bit high to me but I went with Mild success which means in my eyes more than the WiiU... whatever that number is.

 

[Mangler]

I think it will end up doing worse than the 3ds, but better than the wii u.

 

[SubCog]

Wii-U had everything going against it:

Honestly I think the Switch looks fabulous, and the only thing going against it is it's parent company, who I'm convinced is utterly incapable of building and nurturing a gaming platform. Someone should call child-protective services and have the Switch taken away from Nintendo... I truly think that any of Nintendo's competitors are better capable of taking care of the Switch's well-being.

 

[SirBaron]

I don't know Sony are just as bad, in fact when vita didn't get good grades in school, Sony dropped that child faster than a hooker drops her pants.

 

[SubCog]

I don't know Sony are just as bad, in fact when vita didn't get good grades in school, Sony dropped that child faster than a hooker drops her pants.

That's 'cause Sony is focused on putting their successful kid through college.

 

[|MaguS|]

I don't know Sony are just as bad, in fact when vita didn't get good grades in school, Sony dropped that child faster than a hooker drops her pants.

While they stopped manufacturing the hardware they continue to support the platform with software. Even now the Vita is still getting games.

As for sales expectations, I say around 15-20 million in 5 years. It will do worse than Xbox this gen.

Sent from my Pixel using Tapatalk

 

[GravY]

While they stopped manufacturing the hardware they continue to support the platform with software. Even now the Vita is still getting games.

As for sales expectations, I say around 15-20 million in 5 years. It will do worse than Xbox this gen.

Sent from my Pixel using Tapatalk

Vita has been dead a long time. Almost zero development.

Sold mine a year ago. Awesome hardware with no support.

 

[ShaidarHaran]

Vita has been dead a long time. Almost zero development.

Sold mine a year ago. Awesome hardware with no support.

Plenty of Japanese titles still being released, even this year. If you're a JRPG fan especially, Vita is one of the best platforms out there.